(Frank Vargo, the National Association of Manufacturers’s vice president for international economic affairs, is blogging from Geneva this week at the ministerial meeting of the WTO. )
You know, the process here in Geneva is really interesting. It’s like a plane that forever flies at 50,000 feet and can never get lower. The WTO Doha process just can’t seem to get below the big picture. Ministers from WTO countries are gathered here this week to take stock of the Doha Round, state their political will for a conclusion in 2010, and think of what can be done to move forward. And guess what some of them have come up with? Another ministerial meeting!
They would gather together in Geneva in a couple of months to take stock of where things are, issue serious statements about how things have to move faster –- and probably call for yet another ministerial. If the process were
facilitated by ministerial meetings and “mini-ministerials,” we could have had three trade rounds by now.
Fortunately, calling another ministerial meeting in a couple of months is an idea that does not seem to have elicited broad support –- and hopefully won’t before the ministers leave Geneva tomorrow. The U.S. Trade Representative, Ron Kirk, has the right idea – let’s do some work, some eyeball-to-eyeball negotiating and horse-trading, with support from the WTO process. You have to have produce something for the stockroom before you can take stock.
It is rather remarkable, I think, that the gulfs that have prevented agreement are well-known, very visible, have obvious solutions, and yet keep being ignored in terms of a work plan. The WTO negotiating process is a managerial nightmare, lacking substantive goals, management strategies, and tactical plans for achievement. Frankly, the process could benefit from fewer PhD’s and more MBA’s.
The goal of negotiating rounds is to liberalize trade by reducing trade barriers. The Doha Round, in addition, has the goal of creating the maximum new market access for the poorest countries. This is not rocket science. You identify where the market access obstacles are, and you devise plans for reducing or eliminating them.
In the industrial trade negotiations, one thing you have to do is cut tariffs. And if you are going to cut tariffs, you have to go where the tariffs are. And by the WTO staff’s own calculus, about 2/3rds of the tariffs assessed on global industrial trade are collected by the advanced developing countries – especially Brazil, China, and India.
Yet instead of pinpointing reduction of those barriers as a key objective back in 2001, when the round started, as the years passed by, the WTO negotiating process continuously reduced the pressure to cut those tariffs. The consequence has been the prospect of less and less market access for everyone – for the least developed countries, the United States, and everyone in between. (continue reading…)

