Tag: NFIB Small Business Optimism Index

NFIB: Small Business Optimism Dipped in June after Rebounding in Prior Two Months

The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) said that optimism dipped in June after rebounding in the prior two months. The Small Business Optimism Index declined from 98.3 in May to 94.1 in June, its lowest level in 15 months. As such, it suggests that sentiment has once again moved in the wrong direction, reversing signs of progress in April and May. In addition, it remained below the peak observed in December (100.4), which was the highest level since October 2006. The percentage of respondents suggesting that the next three months would be a “good time to expand” dropped from 14 percent to 9 percent, with economic conditions and the political climate cited as the top concerns for those suggesting that was not the right time for expansion. (continue reading…)

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Monday Economic Report – June 15, 2015

Here are the files for this week’s Monday Economic Report: 

Manufacturers and other businesses came into this year with a lot of optimism, particularly given robust growth in the second half of last year. Instead, economic growth has been disappointing year-to-date. A number of significant headwinds have challenged the sector, including a stronger dollar, lower crude oil prices, the residual effects of the West Coast ports slowdown and cautiousness in consumer spending. Much of this can be seen in recent GDP and production figures, which have reflected recent declines in activity, particularly in the first quarter. (continue reading…)

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NFIB: Small Business Optimism Up for the Second Straight Month

The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) said that optimism rose for the second straight month. The Small Business Optimism Index increased from 96.9 in April to 98.3 in May, its highest level so far in 2015. This suggests that small business owners have begun to move beyond the recent lull in confidence. Still, it remained below the peak observed in December (100.4), which was the highest level since October 2006. Indeed, this report continues to reflect lingering anxieties about the economy, even as owners indicate that they are more upbeat today than they have been in past years. (continue reading…)

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NFIB: Small Business Optimism Ticked Somewhat Higher in April

The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) said that optimism rose somewhat in April, rebounding from a much softer March. The Small Business Optimism Index increased from 95.2 in March to 96.9 in April, but remained below the recent peak observed in December (100.4). The December level was the highest since October 2006, but sentiment has been weaker since then as a number of economic headwinds have dampened both activity and the overall outlook to a certain extent. Indeed, this report reflects lingering anxieties about the economy, even as small business owners indicate that they are more upbeat today than they have been in past years. (continue reading…)

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NFIB: Small Business Optimism Dipped in March

The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) said that small business owners were less confident in March. The Small Business Optimism Index dropped from 98.0 in February to 95.2 in March, its lowest level in 9 months. As such, it continues a trend of weaker survey responses so far in 2015, with the headline index down from 100.4 in December, its highest point since October 2006. To be fair, small businesses remain more upbeat today than one year ago (93.4 in March 2014), but growth has clearly slowed in the past three months due to economic headwinds seen in other reports, as well. (continue reading…)

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Monday Economic Report – March 16, 2015

Here is the summary for this week’s Monday Economic Report: 

Global news dominated the headlines once again last week. The euro sank lower as the European Central Bank began its quantitative easing program, where it plans to purchase 1 trillion euros in government bonds over the next 18 months in an effort to stimulate faster economic growth. As a result, the euro has depreciated by nearly 25 percent over the past 10 months, down from $1.3924 per one euro on May 6 to a close of $1.0483 on Friday. There is also some expectation that it will move to parity soon, a level last seen in November 2002. (For more information on international developments, see the latest Global Manufacturing Economic Update.) (continue reading…)

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NFIB: Mixed News on Small Business Optimism in February

The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) said that optimism rose marginally in February. The Small Business Optimism Index increased from 97.9 in January to 98.0 in February, but remained below the peak observed in December (100.4). The December level was the highest since October 2006. The good news was that the headline index has trended higher, up from 91.4 in February 2014. With that said, there continue to be some lingering anxieties about the economic outlook, with some of the underlying data points easing a bit in February. (continue reading…)

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Monday Economic Report – February 17, 2015

Here is the summary for this week’s Monday Economic Report: 

Recently, much of the discussion has been about the strength of the United States relative to many of its trading partners. Indeed, that continues to be the case for the most part, as noted in the latest Global Manufacturing Economic Update. Yet, last week, there was a bit of a shift, with better-than-expected economic growth in Europe and disappointing consumer spending and sentiment in the United States. The data points do not change the underlying trends, with manufacturers continuing to be mostly upbeat about future demand and production. However, it does suggest that economic activity has been softer in some areas than we had hoped as we begin 2015.  (continue reading…)

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NFIB: Small Business Optimism Pulls Back Somewhat in January after Peaking in December

The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) said that optimism pulled back somewhat in January after peaking in December. The Small Business Optimism Index declined from 100.4 in December, its highest level since October 2006, to 97.9 in January. Despite the drop in sentiment, the longer-term trend continues to reflect upward movement, with the headline index up 3.8 points over the past 12 months. Still, this report shows that there are lingering anxieties about the economic outlook, even with signs of recent progress. (continue reading…)

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Monday Economic Report – January 20, 2015

Here is the summary for this week’s Monday Economic Report: 

Financial markets around the world continued to react to the softening global economic environment. In particular, foreign exchange markets were rocked by news that Switzerland would no longer support its cap on the franc, where that currency has been seen as a safe haven, particularly against the euro. Almost immediately, the Swiss franc appreciated sharply against the euro and other currencies. For its part, the euro has continued to depreciate against the U.S. dollar, with one euro selling for $1.1581 on Friday. This was down $1.3927 on March 17, the high point of 2014, representing an appreciation of more than 17 percent for the U.S. dollar against the euro. These developments could hurt the ability of manufacturers in the United States to grow exports. (continue reading…)

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