Tag: economic outlook

Kansas City Fed: Manufacturing Activity Has Declined for Six Straight Months

The Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank said that manufacturing activity in its district has declined for six straight months. The composite index of general business conditions edged lower, down from -7 in July to -9 in August, with this measure in solid negative territory since March. Overall, manufacturers continue to report contracting levels of activity, with reduced crude oil prices, the strong dollar and weaknesses abroad pressuring the sector’s performance. Indeed, various measures of activity were negative across-the-board. This included new orders (down from -6 to -9), production (down from -5 to -16), shipments (down from -2 to -15) and exports (up from -10 to -4). Exports have now declined for eight consecutive months. (continue reading…)

VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)


Second Quarter Real GDP Revised Sharply Higher, up from 2.3 Percent to 3.7 Percent Growth

The Bureau of Economic Analysis revised its estimate of growth in the U.S. in the second quarter sharply higher. Real GDP increased 3.7 percent in the second quarter, significantly higher than the 2.3 percent original estimate released last month. This was slightly above the consensus estimate of 3.2 percent, and the improvement in economic growth for the quarter was attributed to upward revisions in many categories, but particularly for inventory spending. Despite the better headline figure, the underlying trends were largely the same, including rebounds in consumer and business spending and with net exports recovering a bit after serving as a drag in the prior two quarters.  (continue reading…)

VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
Rating: 5.0/5 (1 vote cast)


Markit: China’s Manufacturing Sector Slowed Once More, Down to its Lowest Level Since March 2009

The Caixin Flash China General Manufacturing PMI declined from 47.8 in July to 47.1 in August, its lowest level since March 2009. The Chinese manufacturing sector continues to struggle, with its PMI data contracting for the sixth consecutive month. Manufacturing activity was down across-the-board, including new orders (down from 47.2 to 46.3), output (down from 47.1 to 46.6), exports (down from 46.9 to 46.0) and employment (down from 47.2 to 46.0). The new orders figure was also at a post-recessionary low. Indeed, a number of economic statistics continue to reflect decelerating activity levels, particularly relative to the paces observed earlier in the year or last year. These include industrial production, fixed asset investments and retail sales. With that in mind, the Bank of China has devalued the yuan, down 2.9 percent in the past two weeks, and the Shanghai Composite Stock Market Index has plummeted more than 32 percent since June 12. Such sharp moves have prompted growth worries in financial markets around the world. (continue reading…)

VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)


Manufacturing Production Rebounded in July, but June’s Numbers were Revised Lower

Manufacturing production rebounded strongly in July, up 0.8 percent, but those gains came from a June figure that was revised lower, down 0.3 percent. Output in the sector was originally estimated to be flat in June. (Note that the data were also updated with a new base year, changing it from 2007=100 to 2012=100.) Capacity utilization for manufacturers increased from 75.7 percent to 76.2 percent. On a year-over-year basis, manufacturing production increased 1.5 percent in July, up from 1.4 percent in June. This represented a sharp deceleration in output from the quite-robust 6.0 percent year-over-year pace observed in January, and it reflects a number of significant headwinds facing manufacturers so far this year. This includes a stronger U.S. dollar, lower crude oil prices and weaknesses abroad. (continue reading…)

VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)


NFIB: Small Business Optimism Increased a Little in July, with Owners Still Somewhat Anxious

The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) said that optimism increased a little in July, partially rebounding from the decline seen in June. The Small Business Optimism Index rose from 94.1 in June to 95.4 in July, but this figure remains below the 98.3 registered in May. As such, the data pointed to progress for the month, even as it continued to highlight nagging anxieties about the economy. Index values under 100 usually coincide with softer economic growth for small firms. On the positive side, the percentage of respondents saying that it was a “good time to expand” jumped from 9 percent to 12 percent for the month, which, while encouraging, remained somewhat below the 16 percent observed in December. Economic conditions and the political climate cited as the top concerns for those suggesting that was not the right time for expansion. (continue reading…)

VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)


ISM: Manufacturing Sentiment Edged Lower, but Domestic Sales and Output Growth Ticked Higher

The Institute for Supply Management’s manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) edged somewhat lower in July, bucking expectations for a slight gain. The headline PMI decreased from 53.5 in June to 52.7 in July. Yet, even with reduced sentiment for the month, the index averaged 53.0 over the past three months (May through July), up from 52.0 over the prior three months (February through April). While manufacturing activity has been weaker than what we saw at the end of last year – with the index averaging 56.9 in the fourth quarter of 2014 – these data continue to reflect a slight rebound in demand and output after softness earlier in the year. Along those lines, growth in both new orders (up from 56.0 to 56.5) and production (up from 54.0 to 56.0) ticked higher in July, expanding at a decent but still less-than-desired pace. (continue reading…)

VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)


Kansas City Fed: Manufacturing Activity Declined for the Fifth Straight Month in July

The Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank said that manufacturing activity declined for the fifth straight month in July, albeit at a slower pace than in either May or June. The composite index of general business conditions increased from -13 in May to -9 in June to -7 in July. Overall, manufacturers continue to report contracting levels of activity, with reduced crude oil prices, the strong dollar and weaknesses abroad pressuring the sector’s performance. Indeed, various measures of activity were negative across-the-board, even with some of them showing a slower rate of decline for the month. This included new orders (down from -3 to -6), production (up from -21 to -5), shipments (up from -15 to -2) and exports (down from -5 to -10). Exports have now declined for seven consecutive months. (continue reading…)

VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)


Business Economists Noted Slower Growth in Sales in July than Earlier in the Year

The National Association for Business Economics (NABE) said that activity slowed somewhat from earlier in the year, mirroring other indicators. In the latest Business Conditions Survey, respondents noted slightly weaker conditions than in prior reports, and yet, they also remained mostly upbeat about the second half of 2015. The net rising index for sales, for instance, has declined from 45 in July 2014 to 28 in this survey, with the percentage of those completing the survey observing rising sales dropping from 57 percent one year ago to 49 percent in April to 46 percent in July. Despite the drop in demand growth, this release continues to show sales growth that is more favorable than not, with just 18 percent of respondents citing declining sales in July. Along those lines, 59 percent of industry economists anticipate sales increases over the next three months. (continue reading…)

VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)


Philly Fed: Growth in Manufacturing Activity Slowed Somewhat in July

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia said that growth in the manufacturing sector in its district slowed somewhat in July. The composite index of general business activity decreased from 15.2 in June, its highest level so far in 2015, to 6.7 in July. This suggests some deceleration in the expansion rate, leading more respondents to indicate declines in several key underlying data points. For instance, the percentage of manufacturers suggesting that their new orders had decreased in the month rose from 19.7 percent in June to 24.7 percent in July. This corresponded to the percentage of respondents citing increased new orders dropping from 35.0 percent to 31.7 percent. As such, the new orders index dropped from 15.2 to 7.1 – a reading that suggests a modest expansion in demand in June, even as the growth rate eased from a more-robust pace in July. (continue reading…)

VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)


NY Fed: Manufacturing Activity Rebounded Somewhat in July

The Empire State Manufacturing Survey said that activity rebounded somewhat in July. The composite index of general business conditions from the New York Federal Reserve Bank improved from -2.0 in June to 3.9 in July, indicating a slight expansion in activity for the month. Nonetheless, even with better data in July, the year-to-date average for this composite measure was just 4.1, suggesting only modest growth for the sector. This compared to an average of 13.8 in the second half of 2014, showing a deceleration in the overall growth rate as a number of economic headwinds have dampened activity in the New York Fed’s district. (continue reading…)

VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)


A Manufacturing Blog

  • Categories

  • Connect With Manufacturers

            
  • Blogroll