The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) spent much of its time at the September 16-17 meeting debating the timing of when to begin normalizing short-term rates. Some participants argued that there were still sufficient downside risks in the economy and that inflationary pressures remained minimal – well below the Fed’s stated goal of two percent. Therefore, it did not make sense for the FOMC to wait for better signs of strength in the U.S. economy before starting the process of raising rates. This process was often referred to in the minutes as “policy firming.” In contrast, others said that “a prompt decision to firm policy could provide a signal of confidence in the strength of the U.S. economy that might spur rather than restrain economic activity.” Those same individuals also worried about the long-term pricing consequences of continuing to keep short-term rates near zero for so long. (continue reading…)
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