Still No Consensus: Hurricane Scientists Split on Global Warming

By May 30, 2006Global Warming

Here’s a story from yesterday’s Washington Times by Tom Carter entitled, “Gore’s ‘Truth’ splits hurricane scientists.” It lays out pretty well the debate between the global-warming-causes-more-severe-hurricanes crowd and the many scientists who just flat disagree. Unfortunately, the latter group isn’t featured on the cover of Time magazine or on CNN these days. No hysteria, no news. There’s this from the article:

“According to NOAA hurricane records going back into the mid-1800s, hurricanes come in cycles. There have been quiet periods, with less hurricane activity, followed every 25 to 40 years by active periods, that last about 25 years. The current active period began in 1995 and is expected to last another 10 to 15 years.”

It all depends on what base line you use, apparently — can show whatever you want. What is it Reagan used to say? There are lies, damned lies and statistics.

Just want you to be aware there’s another side to this story, and want to keep a brake on the mantra of “consensus” that’s being lazily repeated by folks unwilling to look for contrary points of view. The dissenting views are out there in droves.

Join the discussion One Comment

  • Pat says:

    More splits in the article

    “You cannot blame any single storm or even a single season on global warming. … Gore’s statement in the movie is that we can expect more storms like Katrina in a greenhouse-warmed world. I would agree with this,” said Judith Curry.

    All agree that in the past 30 years, the waters off the West Coast of Africa, where most Atlantic hurricanes are born, have warmed by about 1 degree, to about 81 degrees Fahrenheit, and as much as two-thirds of that increase is attributable to greenhouse gases, or global warming.

    The split is whether or not it’s already happened…but most are worried about the future.